Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | NIU +160 UNI -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +13 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | NIU -3.4 (-16.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.6 (-23.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NIU -1.4 (-14.4) | 155.2 (-16.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NIU -2.3 (-15.3) | 157.7 (-18.7) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NIU -2.0 (-15.0) | 154.9 (-15.9) | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NIU -2.6 (-15.6) | 157.9 (-18.9) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 19, 2025 | UNI 70 – 57 NIU |
| Dec 7, 2024 | UNI 101 – 57 NIU |
| Nov 26, 2022 | UNI 83 – 76 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NIU | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 12-8 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#154) | 2.0 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.23 (#83) | -0.45 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.62 (#79) | -0.24 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#51) | 0.475 (#211) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NIU | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 47.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 24.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.0% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 77.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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