Betting Lines
| Spread | UNI -19.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | UNI -6000 NIU +1800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNI +13 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | UNI -17.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNI -20.6 (-7.6) | 137.2 (-10.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNI -16.6 (-3.6) | 137.3 (-10.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNI -15.9 (-2.9) | 139.0 (-12.0) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNI -18.7 (-5.7) | 138.0 (-11.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | UNI 101 – 57 NIU |
| Dec 22, 2023 | UNI 76 – 63 NIU |
| Nov 26, 2022 | UNI 83 – 76 NIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNI | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 4-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#91) | -5.1 (#265) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.15 (#34) | -1.29 (#277) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#32) | -2.38 (#299) |
| RPI | 0.613 (#65) | 0.403 (#284) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNI | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.8% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 38.8% |
| REB / G | 30.3 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.0 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 14.1% | 25.0% |
| ORB% | 18.6% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 35.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.1% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
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