Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.0 Over |
| Money | UTEP -135 WYO +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +11 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -1.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -2.5 (+8.5) | 140.1 (+4.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -2.4 (+8.6) | 137.7 (+7.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -2.2 (+8.8) | 138.2 (+6.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -2.1 (+8.9) | 138.4 (+6.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTEP | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-16 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-5 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -4.1 (#245) | -1.3 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.64 (#241) | 0.41 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#243) | 0.55 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#242) | 0.507 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTEP | WYO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 24.5% | 40.6% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.4% | 29.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 41.5% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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