And with the way you look I understand you're not impressed. "Alison" - Elvis Costello
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–8 on winners spread MAE 9.6 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Georgetown @ Marquette +18.5 149.2 89% 51–81 ✓
Mississippi Valley State @ Baylor +27.9 140.4 91% 48–107 ✓
Stetson @ Cincinnati +17.2 149.9 89% 75–83 ✓
Southern Indiana @ Southern Illinois +16.8 137.4 89% 50–81 ✓
Canisius @ High Point +4.5 150.0 77% 70–78 ✓
Winthrop @ Florida State +5.9 146.7 74% 61–67 ✓
Maryland Eastern Shore @ VCU +21.0 137.4 90% 51–75 ✓
Binghamton @ St. Bonaventure +14.3 143.1 87% 64–90 ✓
Temple @ Old Dominion -4.9 151.5 30% 63–78 ✗
Yale @ Kansas +12.2 144.5 86% 60–75 ✓
Chicago State @ Wisconsin +21.6 133.8 90% 53–80 ✓
New Mexico State @ Tulsa +8.6 147.2 87% 59–65 ✓
Fresno State @ San Francisco +14.4 131.4 87% 57–77 ✓
Louisiana @ Rice +1.2 142.7 54% 84–67 ✗
Ohio @ Austin Peay -0.7 136.8 52% 67–71 ✗
Alabama State @ Auburn +24.7 150.3 91% 62–82 ✓
Marist @ Notre Dame -0.6 127.7 51% 56–60 ✗
Houston Christian @ Texas A&M +27.0 145.9 91% 52–79 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Southern Utah +7.7 136.4 76% 63–69 ✓
Missouri @ Illinois +7.2 148.6 73% 73–97 ✓
Bellarmine @ BYU +25.5 145.0 91% 59–101 ✓
East Tennessee State @ Utah State +20.0 141.6 89% 65–80 ✓
Maryland @ UCLA +2.1 133.4 53% 69–60 ✗
Colorado State @ Loyola Marymount -5.1 141.8 32% 76–67 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Hawai'i +3.8 141.0 66% 73–68 ✗
Massachusetts @ Portland -8.5 151.5 21% 100–78 ✓
Butler @ Providence +4.3 146.0 69% 75–85 ✓
Rutgers @ Mississippi State +3.3 131.6 61% 60–70 ✓
Long Island University @ Mount St. Mary's +11.8 144.7 88% 59–87 ✓
Pennsylvania @ Rider -2.1 145.5 38% 77–73 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ NC State +19.9 143.1 90% 66–83 ✓
Toledo @ West Virginia +2.7 146.1 70% 81–91 ✓
Southern Miss @ Ole Miss +6.7 140.4 73% 72–89 ✓
UT Arlington @ North Texas +10.5 131.0 81% 52–78 ✓
Seton Hall @ Xavier +4.9 143.8 74% 54–74 ✓
Kennesaw State @ UNC Asheville +2.1 159.1 67% 70–79 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Arizona +5.8 154.5 60% 96–95 ✗
Vanderbilt @ Memphis +14.7 144.6 89% 75–77 ✓
Villanova @ DePaul -11.4 137.3 19% 84–48 ✓
Eastern Kentucky @ Alabama +22.6 162.0 90% 67–111 ✓
Duquesne @ Santa Clara -2.8 144.9 40% 73–81 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.