Betting Lines
| Spread | RICE -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | RICE -175 UL +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UL +17 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | RICE -2.4 (-19.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (+6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -3.5 (-20.5) | 143.0 (+8.0) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICE -3.6 (-20.6) | 141.6 (+9.4) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICE -3.7 (-20.7) | 141.5 (+9.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICE -1.2 (-18.2) | 142.7 (+8.3) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 20, 2024 | RICE 83 – 61 UL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICE | UL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-10 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 72.7 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#185) | 1.2 (#149) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#191) | 0.27 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#192) | 0.56 (#146) |
| RPI | 0.494 (#190) | 0.494 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICE | UL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 28.1% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 37.5 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 60.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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