Betting Lines
| Spread | UL -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UL -170 RICE +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RICE +22 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | UL -2.6 (-24.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.0 (+5.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICE -0.1 (-21.9) | 137.4 (+6.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UL -2.6 (-24.6) | 136.8 (+7.2) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UL -0.6 (-22.6) | 137.8 (+6.2) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UL -1.3 (-23.3) | 138.5 (+5.5) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2023 | UL 84 – 67 RICE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UL | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 4-14 |
| Home | 5-12 | 7-8 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 70.3 |
| Massey | -8.3 (#311) | -4.0 (#251) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.01 (#326) | -0.76 (#244) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#307) | -1.59 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.229 (#358) | 0.406 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UL | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.9% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 27.0 | 40.5 |
| OREB / G | 4.0 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 24.9% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 13.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 38.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 60.5% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.7% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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