Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
| Money | RID +135 PENN -160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +4 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | PENN -1.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -0.7 (-3.3) | 147.9 (+2.1) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -0.1 (-3.9) | 149.0 (+1.0) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -0.4 (-3.6) | 147.4 (+2.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -2.1 (-1.9) | 145.5 (+4.5) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2024 | PENN 79 – 66 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 3-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-12 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#285) | -0.5 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#295) | -0.07 (#188) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.99 (#298) | 0.38 (#162) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#263) | 0.466 (#231) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | PENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.7% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 41.1 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 14.7 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 35.7% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.7% | 16.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.