Betting Lines
| Spread | PENN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | PENN -185 RID +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PENN +13 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | PENN -0.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.8 (+17.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PENN -1.5 (+11.5) | 130.5 (+14.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PENN -1.0 (+12.0) | 130.2 (+14.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PENN -1.2 (+11.8) | 130.9 (+14.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PENN -2.1 (+10.9) | 131.9 (+13.1) | 57% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2023 | PENN 77 – 73 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PENN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-8 | 5-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.4 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -12.0 (#345) | -8.3 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#324) | -1.52 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.72 (#329) | -2.46 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.393 (#333) | 0.431 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PENN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.1% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 27.4% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.3% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 64.5% | 66.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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