Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -24.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | WIS -8000 CHST +3300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +27 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -25.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-3.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -21.7 (+5.3) | 134.9 (-1.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -22.1 (+4.9) | 136.0 (-3.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -21.3 (+5.7) | 138.5 (-5.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -21.6 (+5.4) | 133.8 (-0.8) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | WIS 74 – 53 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-14 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 0-0 |
| Home | 14-3 | 6-5 |
| Away | 3-9 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | 13.0 (#29) | -8.0 (#303) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#20) | -1.29 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.95 (#15) | -2.39 (#313) |
| RPI | 0.625 (#23) | 0.423 (#299) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 31.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.6% | 29.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 23.0% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 66.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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