Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -34.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +21 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -39.8 (-18.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -32.1 (-11.1) | 149.2 (-22.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -33.5 (-12.5) | 148.1 (-21.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -24.5 (-3.5) | 145.8 (-18.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -26.3 (-5.3) | 151.3 (-24.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2023 | WIS 80 – 53 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 4-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 3-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.1 | 62.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 78.7 |
| Massey | 14.4 (#23) | -19.7 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.41 (#5) | -4.33 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.13 (#3) | -7.57 (#364) |
| RPI | 0.731 (#5) | 0.377 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | CHST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 34.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 0.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 40.0% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 24.6% |
| FT Rate | 35.6% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 60.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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