Betting Lines
| Spread | TEM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | ODU +163 TEM -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ODU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | TEM -5.1 (+20.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (-16.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 15% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEM -4.9 (+19.9) | 151.5 (-10.5) | 30% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEM -4.2 (+19.2) | 151.2 (-10.2) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TEM -3.3 (+18.3) | 152.0 (-11.0) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEM -3.2 (+18.2) | 153.7 (-12.7) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ODU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 16-20 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 5-13 |
| Home | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Away | 1-12 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -5.2 (#263) | -0.1 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.61 (#238) | 0.60 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.19 (#261) | 0.52 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.471 (#222) | 0.544 (#106) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ODU | TEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 17.0% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 35.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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