Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -40.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +59 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -41.2 (+17.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+14.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -27.9 (+31.1) | 140.4 (+14.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -26.9 (+32.1) | 140.3 (+14.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -38.7 (+20.3) | 142.7 (+12.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -43.0 (+16.0) | 141.3 (+13.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 7, 2022 | BAY 117 – 53 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 1-30 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 1-17 |
| Home | 15-2 | 1-8 |
| Away | 4-5 | 0-22 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 55.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 14.9 (#11) | -21.8 (#363) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.90 (#44) | -2.77 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.41 (#49) | -3.79 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.579 (#58) | 0.430 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 35.6% |
| 3PT% | 44.6% | 26.1% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 28.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.44 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 38.7% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 25.6% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 31.5% | 16.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 59.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 30.2% |
Game Analysis
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