Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -17.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -1667 GTWN +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +30 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -18.7 (+11.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.3 (-19.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -16.5 (+13.5) | 146.6 (-14.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -18.5 (+11.5) | 149.2 (-17.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -14.8 (+15.2) | 147.7 (-15.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -16.2 (+13.8) | 146.7 (-14.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MARQ 76 – 60 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2025 | GTWN 78 – 69 MARQ |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 61 GTWN |
| Jan 8, 2025 | MARQ 74 – 66 GTWN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MARQ 91 – 57 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-10 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-2 | 7-12 |
| Away | 7-5 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.1 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#19) | -0.1 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#14) | -0.27 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.50 (#9) | 0.08 (#178) |
| RPI | 0.650 (#12) | 0.466 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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