Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -305 GTWN +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GTWN +9 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | MARQ -4.2 (-13.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.2 (-9.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 10% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -3.0 (-12.0) | 150.6 (-3.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -4.6 (-13.6) | 149.0 (-2.0) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -1.7 (-10.7) | 147.4 (-0.4) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -1.9 (-10.9) | 149.1 (-2.1) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MARQ 76 – 60 GTWN |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 61 GTWN |
| Jan 8, 2025 | MARQ 74 – 66 GTWN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MARQ 91 – 57 GTWN |
| Dec 23, 2023 | MARQ 81 – 51 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 7-13 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-7 | 10-7 |
| Away | 2-10 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#143) | 2.0 (#142) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#238) | 1.47 (#72) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#230) | 2.02 (#75) |
| RPI | 0.450 (#261) | 0.547 (#99) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 12.5% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 27.0% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.7% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.0% | 31.8% |
Game Analysis
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