Betting Lines
| Spread | MARQ -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MARQ -1400 GTWN +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MARQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MARQ +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | MARQ -14.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (-2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MARQ -12.1 (-4.1) | 141.8 (-1.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MARQ -14.4 (-6.4) | 141.1 (-1.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MARQ -12.0 (-4.0) | 140.4 (-0.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MARQ -12.1 (-4.1) | 139.9 (+0.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | MARQ 76 – 60 GTWN |
| Dec 18, 2025 | GTWN 78 – 69 MARQ |
| Mar 2, 2025 | MARQ 76 – 61 GTWN |
| Feb 3, 2024 | MARQ 91 – 57 GTWN |
| Dec 23, 2023 | MARQ 81 – 51 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MARQ | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-3 | 14-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 72.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 18.2 (#15) | 7.6 (#77) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.67 (#10) | 1.74 (#62) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.84 (#11) | 1.83 (#71) |
| RPI | 0.666 (#6) | 0.561 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MARQ | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 31.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.70 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 12.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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