Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -16.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.0 Over |
| Money | MEM -1700 VAN +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +2 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | MEM -23.7 (-21.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+2.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -18.6 (-16.6) | 146.3 (+5.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -14.7 (-12.7) | 144.6 (+7.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -18.6 (-16.6) | 146.2 (+5.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -20.5 (-18.5) | 145.4 (+6.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2025 | VAN 77 – 70 MEM |
| Nov 8, 2022 | MEM 76 – 67 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 9-23 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 4-14 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-10 |
| Away | 7-6 | 1-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#36) | -7.5 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.49 (#9) | -1.30 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.31 (#13) | -1.68 (#286) |
| RPI | 0.697 (#2) | 0.438 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 28.5% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 26.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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