Betting Lines
| Spread | VAN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | MEM +380 VAN -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VAN +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | VAN -11.3 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VAN -6.9 (-0.1) | 156.9 (-9.9) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VAN -7.2 (+0.2) | 151.9 (-4.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VAN -6.8 (-0.2) | 154.3 (-7.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VAN -7.5 (+0.5) | 155.4 (-8.4) | 26% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2023 | MEM 77 – 75 VAN |
| Nov 8, 2022 | MEM 76 – 67 VAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MEM | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-6 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-10 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 85.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#108) | 20.2 (#9) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#157) | 4.91 (#5) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#138) | 7.26 (#5) |
| RPI | 0.528 (#123) | 0.666 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MEM | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 14.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 2.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 60.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 13.1% |
| ORB% | 37.6% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 64.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.8% | 34.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.