Betting Lines
| Spread | HPU -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | HPU -275 CAN +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HPU +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | HPU -5.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (-6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HPU -4.5 (+3.5) | 150.0 (-2.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HPU -5.8 (+2.2) | 148.7 (-0.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HPU -5.5 (+2.5) | 149.8 (-1.8) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HPU -6.9 (+1.1) | 149.7 (-1.7) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | HPU 93 – 50 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HPU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-9 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 8-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 8-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.1 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#111) | 2.6 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.59 (#130) | 0.46 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#114) | 0.71 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#126) | 0.547 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HPU | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 33.5% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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