Betting Lines
| Spread | UNCA -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.0 Under |
| Money | UNCA -170 KENN +143 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNCA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNCA +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UNCA -2.8 (+6.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.5 (-18.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNCA -2.1 (+6.9) | 159.1 (-10.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNCA -3.0 (+6.0) | 159.0 (-10.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNCA -2.2 (+6.8) | 157.4 (-8.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNCA -3.0 (+6.0) | 158.1 (-9.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2023 | KENN 79 – 76 UNCA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNCA | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 6-10 |
| Home | 12-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-7 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 83.7 |
| Massey | -3.5 (#237) | -1.9 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.39 (#145) | 0.35 (#147) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#153) | 0.26 (#167) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#144) | 0.496 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNCA | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.1% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 32.1% |
Game Analysis
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