Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -3.0 Push |
| O/U | 167.0 Under |
| Money | KENN -155 UNCA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -8.0 (-5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.4 (-17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -6.7 (-3.7) | 158.7 (-3.7) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -6.0 (-3.0) | 157.6 (-2.6) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -6.2 (-3.2) | 159.6 (-4.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -5.8 (-2.8) | 161.2 (-6.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2023 | UNCA 79 – 70 KENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 6-10 | 12-4 |
| Home | 9-5 | 12-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.7 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -3.3 (#238) | -5.4 (#272) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.27 (#209) | 0.00 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#206) | -0.24 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#236) | 0.478 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 28.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 34.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 63.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 31.0% |
Game Analysis
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