Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges
Reed Arena · December 23, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TA&M -33.5 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total TA&M win
Actual TA&M +27 131 Won
Massey TA&M -33.1 (-6.1)
Massey Totals 152.1 (-21.1)
Bradley-Terry 100%
Weighted B-T 100%
Baseline Plus ML TA&M -32.1 (-5.1) 144.1 (-13.1) 91%
Baseline ML TA&M -31.1 (-4.1) 147.7 (-16.7) 91%
Baseline Tuned ML TA&M -23.4 (+3.6) 148.2 (-17.2) 91%
Efficiency Plus ML TA&M -27.0 (-0.0) 145.9 (-14.9) 91%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 20, 2024 TA&M 7745 HCU
Nov 17, 2021 TA&M 7339 HCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TA&M HCU
Overall 21-15 6-23
Conference 9-9 4-14
Home 10-5 5-8
Away 6-6 1-15
Neutral 5-4 0-0
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L7
Avg Pts For 76.0 69.3
Avg Pts Against 72.0 84.8
Massey 13.8 (#22) -14.8 (#353)
Bradley-Terry 2.20 (#30) -4.11 (#361)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.08 (#31) -5.33 (#360)
RPI 0.628 (#19) 0.399 (#328)
Shooting & Four Factors TA&M HCU
FG% 42.8% 39.7%
3PT% 28.8% 20.8%
REB / G 40.7 37.2
OREB / G 17.5 11.9
AST / TO 1.28 0.57
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.3% 42.2%
TOV% 15.0% 22.4%
ORB% 45.0% 28.4%
FT Rate 23.6% 17.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 54.9%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 13.8%
DRB% 69.8% 66.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.7% 18.3%

Game Analysis

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