Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -24.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +34 | 112 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -24.6 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -25.3 (+8.7) | 132.5 (-20.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -25.3 (+8.7) | 140.9 (-28.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -19.0 (+15.0) | 140.9 (-28.9) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2024 | TA&M 77 – 45 HCU |
| Dec 23, 2023 | TA&M 79 – 52 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-13 | 11-18 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-8 |
| Home | 16-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 5-5 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.4 | 79.4 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#114) | -11.5 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.03 (#70) | -0.62 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#81) | -1.00 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.615 (#99) | 0.250 (#306) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 32.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.35 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 38.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 28.1% |
| ORB% | 37.4% | 40.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 77.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 27.6% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 62.8% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.4% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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