Betting Lines
| Spread | TA&M -31.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TA&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TA&M +32 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | TA&M -27.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.6 (-14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TA&M -24.2 (+7.8) | 137.7 (-15.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TA&M -24.3 (+7.7) | 138.7 (-16.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TA&M -22.5 (+9.5) | 138.0 (-16.0) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TA&M -25.1 (+6.9) | 134.2 (-12.2) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 23, 2023 | TA&M 79 – 52 HCU |
| Nov 17, 2021 | TA&M 73 – 39 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TA&M | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-11 |
| Home | 13-3 | 8-7 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.6 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.7 | 69.9 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#36) | -10.2 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#16) | -2.09 (#331) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.98 (#18) | -2.54 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.675 (#7) | 0.386 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TA&M | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 42.3 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 16.9 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 47.4% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 43.7% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.5% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.7% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 23.0% |
Game Analysis
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