Betting Lines
| Spread | BYU -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BYU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BYU +42 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | BYU -33.7 (+8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+22.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BYU -25.5 (+16.5) | 145.0 (+15.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BYU -25.6 (+16.4) | 140.5 (+19.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BYU -33.1 (+8.9) | 140.5 (+19.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BYU -33.3 (+8.7) | 144.4 (+15.6) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BYU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 16-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 3-7 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 76.8 |
| Massey | 23.4 (#2) | -5.9 (#276) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.11 (#15) | -1.42 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.19 (#14) | -1.30 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.627 (#20) | 0.464 (#235) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BYU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 39.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 44.5 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.9 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 2.17 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.1% | 45.1% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 23.1% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 15.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 79.9% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.4% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.