They were all in love with dying, they we're doing it in Texas. "Pepper" - Butthole Surfers
Alaska Airlines Arena · December 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WASH -15.0 Away covered
O/U 159.0 Under
Money WASH -1400 / EWU +800
Model Predictions
Spread Total WASH win
Actual WASH +7 139 Won
Massey WASH -19.1 (-12.1)
Massey Totals 168.1 (-29.1)
Bradley-Terry 91%
Weighted B-T 95%
Baseline Plus ML WASH -18.0 (-11.0) 155.0 (-16.0) 89%
Baseline ML WASH -17.6 (-10.6) 158.7 (-19.7) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML WASH -15.8 (-8.8) 157.9 (-18.9) 89%
Efficiency Plus ML WASH -13.6 (-6.6) 156.4 (-17.4) 88%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 11, 2024 WASH 8769 EWU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WASH EWU
Overall 17-15 21-11
Conference 9-11 15-3
Home 10-6 11-1
Away 5-6 10-9
Neutral 2-3 0-1
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.6 79.5
Avg Pts Against 77.1 77.6
Massey 11.2 (#40) -3.3 (#232)
Bradley-Terry 1.63 (#58) 0.27 (#156)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.12 (#65) 0.15 (#168)
RPI 0.596 (#41) 0.553 (#96)
Shooting & Four Factors WASH EWU
FG% 48.3% 43.8%
3PT% 33.6% 35.1%
REB / G 39.8 30.6
OREB / G 12.1 7.4
AST / TO 1.32 1.07
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.9% 51.8%
TOV% 17.5% 21.2%
ORB% 34.7% 22.5%
FT Rate 24.4% 22.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.5% 55.5%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 15.8%
DRB% 67.7% 69.1%
Opp FT Rate 24.7% 28.5%

Game Analysis

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