Betting Lines
| Spread | WASH -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WASH -1200 EWU +700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WASH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WASH +18 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | WASH -7.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WASH -7.2 (+10.8) | 143.7 (+12.3) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WASH -7.2 (+10.8) | 142.8 (+13.2) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WASH -6.4 (+11.6) | 142.3 (+13.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WASH -8.0 (+10.0) | 142.1 (+13.9) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | WASH 73 – 66 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WASH | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-9 | 8-6 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L6 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 0.5 (#152) | -2.8 (#212) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.07 (#91) | -0.90 (#248) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.09 (#109) | -0.93 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#67) | 0.449 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WASH | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 29.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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