Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | ORE -305 KENT +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | ORE -7.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.4 (-4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -6.3 (+7.7) | 151.9 (+2.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -7.6 (+6.4) | 151.6 (+2.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -7.4 (+6.6) | 151.8 (+2.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -8.1 (+5.9) | 153.0 (+1.0) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 5-4 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 7.1 (#74) | 4.7 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.15 (#89) | 0.46 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#81) | 0.79 (#129) |
| RPI | 0.575 (#66) | 0.535 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | KENT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.2% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 31.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.4% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 73.7% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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