Betting Lines
| Spread | SDSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.0 Under |
| Money | SDSU -400 STAN +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDSU +14 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | SDSU -14.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (-17.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDSU -13.7 (+0.3) | 151.5 (-17.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDSU -12.6 (+1.4) | 149.2 (-15.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDSU -12.7 (+1.3) | 149.2 (-15.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDSU -12.4 (+1.6) | 151.0 (-17.0) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2022 | SDSU 74 – 62 STAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDSU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-11 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 8-12 |
| Home | 14-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 12.2 (#32) | 2.5 (#131) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.76 (#19) | -0.23 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.52 (#22) | -0.25 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.671 (#4) | 0.469 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDSU | STAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 37.1 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.6% | 17.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 15.9% |
Game Analysis
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