Betting Lines
| Spread | TULN -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.0 Under |
| Money | TULN -180 GMU +152 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TULN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GMU +3 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | TULN -3.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.9 (-31.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TULN -3.0 (-6.0) | 154.2 (-19.2) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TULN -4.2 (-7.2) | 155.7 (-20.7) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TULN -3.6 (-6.6) | 155.3 (-20.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TULN -2.0 (-5.0) | 153.3 (-18.3) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | GMU 76 – 64 TULN |
| Dec 17, 2022 | GMU 62 – 56 TULN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TULN | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-6 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-8 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 66.1 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#106) | 4.6 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.93 (#107) | 1.82 (#52) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.21 (#104) | 2.14 (#62) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#161) | 0.573 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TULN | GMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.6% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 38.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 5.5 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 59.6% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 18.1% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 43.0% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.4% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.