That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
McGuirk Arena · December 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CMU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 137.5 Over
Money CMU -300 / DETM +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total CMU win
Actual CMU +12 138 Won
Massey CMU -6.5 (+5.5) — —
Massey Totals — 142.2 (-4.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 96% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CMU -4.6 (+7.4) 134.6 (+3.4) 69% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CMU -5.7 (+6.3) 139.3 (-1.3) 72% ✓
Baseline ML CMU -6.1 (+5.9) 138.9 (-0.9) 67% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CMU -6.1 (+5.9) 136.4 (+1.6) 72% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 19, 2021 DETM 89 – 75 CMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CMU DETM
Overall 18-14 1-31
Conference 12-6 1-19
Home 10-3 1-11
Away 7-9 0-20
Neutral 1-2 0-0
Last 5 2-3 0-5
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 65.7 66.0
Avg Pts Against 70.2 80.2
Massey -10.5 (#329) -12.5 (#343)
Bradley-Terry -1.03 (#268) -3.32 (#353)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.68 (#289) -4.35 (#350)
RPI 0.468 (#226) 0.411 (#317)
Shooting & Four Factors CMU DETM
FG% 42.3% 40.4%
3PT% 30.4% 28.2%
REB / G 31.7 29.8
OREB / G 11.1 9.3
AST / TO 0.72 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 45.3%
TOV% 20.5% 20.2%
ORB% 30.4% 26.4%
FT Rate 16.4% 18.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.3% 55.6%
Opp TOV% 18.6% 17.0%
DRB% 66.8% 66.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 24.4%

Game Analysis

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