Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +14 | 164 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -16.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -13.0 (+1.0) | 141.9 (+22.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -14.3 (-0.3) | 145.1 (+18.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -14.8 (-0.8) | 143.7 (+20.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -13.6 (+0.4) | 141.6 (+22.4) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | CMU 75 – 63 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-1 | 2-9 |
| Away | 5-15 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -1.6 (#210) | -13.5 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.39 (#216) | -2.86 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.57 (#222) | -4.18 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#223) | 0.428 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | CMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.6% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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