Tire tracks all across your back - I can see you've had your fun. "Crosstown Traffic"- Jimi Hendrix
Massachusetts Minutemen
70 – 73
FINAL Neutral Hawaiian Airlines Diamond Head Classic
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Stan Sheriff Center (Neutral) · December 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread MASS -2.0 Away covered
O/U 151.5 Under
Money MASS -135 / GT +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total MASS win
Actual GT +3 143 Lost
Massey MASS -6.1 (-9.1) — —
Massey Totals — 151.6 (-8.6) —
Bradley-Terry — — 42% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 32% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ MASS -2.2 (-5.2) 149.2 (-6.2) 60% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML MASS -3.4 (-6.4) 145.5 (-2.5) 64% ✗
Baseline ML MASS -2.5 (-5.5) 146.1 (-3.1) 61% ✗
Baseline Plus ML MASS -2.6 (-5.6) 149.9 (-6.9) 61% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings MASS GT
Overall 20-11 14-18
Conference 11-7 7-13
Home 13-3 8-7
Away 4-6 4-9
Neutral 3-2 2-2
Last 5 4-1 4-1
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 77.5 71.0
Avg Pts Against 70.7 75.2
Massey 6.9 (#77) 0.8 (#159)
Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#135) 0.83 (#116)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.67 (#142) 1.41 (#94)
RPI 0.562 (#82) 0.531 (#127)
Shooting & Four Factors MASS GT
FG% 46.0% 40.6%
3PT% 33.1% 29.0%
REB / G 40.4 42.9
OREB / G 14.2 15.1
AST / TO 1.69 1.09
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 46.2%
TOV% 15.1% 18.5%
ORB% 36.9% 37.6%
FT Rate 25.0% 21.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.2% 45.4%
Opp TOV% 20.2% 14.0%
DRB% 68.3% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 29.8% 22.1%

Game Analysis

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