Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -14.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | IU -1000 UNA +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +17 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | IU -9.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.1 (-2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IU -11.5 (+5.5) | 149.5 (-0.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -8.3 (+8.7) | 146.6 (+2.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -8.8 (+8.2) | 147.5 (+1.5) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -8.7 (+8.3) | 150.1 (-1.1) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2020 | IU 87 – 52 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#138) | -3.1 (#228) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.87 (#47) | -0.86 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#56) | -1.21 (#264) |
| RPI | 0.583 (#56) | 0.444 (#274) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.4% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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