Betting Lines
| Spread | IU -25.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | IU -7000 UNA +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IU +35 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | IU -27.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IU -21.1 (+13.9) | 138.4 (+0.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IU -24.3 (+10.7) | 135.8 (+3.2) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IU -24.6 (+10.4) | 138.8 (+0.2) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | IU 83 – 66 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-15 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 7-12 | 7-8 |
| Home | 6-6 | 8-4 |
| Away | 3-7 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 12.7 (#19) | -8.4 (#273) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.74 (#50) | -1.79 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.79 (#48) | -2.80 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#35) | 0.318 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IU | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 38.2% |
| 3PT% | 28.8% | 18.5% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 42.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 28.8% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 31.7% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.5% | 42.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 65.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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