Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BRY +143 DREX -170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +18 | 190 | Won |
| Massey | DREX -1.6 (+19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (+63.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRY -1.2 (+16.8) | 136.5 (+53.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -0.1 (+18.1) | 133.1 (+56.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRY -0.4 (+17.6) | 133.2 (+56.8) | 50% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -1.6 (+19.6) | 145.0 (+45.0) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2024 | BRY 78 – 73 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRY | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-3 | 13-1 |
| Away | 8-10 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.8 | 71.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.3 | 67.1 |
| Massey | -2.6 (#216) | 3.5 (#113) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.19 (#200) | 0.46 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#177) | 0.27 (#163) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#194) | 0.520 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRY | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.4% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 26.6% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 41.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.9% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 17.9% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 43.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 13.9% |
| DRB% | 67.0% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 17.8% |
Game Analysis
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