Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | DREX -130 BRY +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRY +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -4.9 (-9.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -4.4 (-9.4) | 149.7 (+1.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -4.0 (-9.0) | 149.7 (+1.3) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -4.1 (-9.1) | 148.0 (+3.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -3.7 (-8.7) | 148.4 (+2.6) | 61% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | BRY 104 – 86 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-2 |
| Home | 8-6 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 74.9 |
| Massey | 0.1 (#160) | 0.5 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.09 (#158) | -0.04 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#202) | -0.34 (#190) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#205) | 0.497 (#173) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | BRY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 39.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 41.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 14.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 37.1% |
| FT Rate | 15.3% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.9% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.7% | 69.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
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