Everybody know I'm a motherfucking monster. "Monster" - Kanye West
UPMC Events Center · December 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread COR -7.0 Home covered
O/U 160.5 Over
Money RMU +275 / COR -350
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual COR +5 175 Lost
Massey COR -5.3 (+0.3)
Massey Totals 162.9 (+12.1)
Bradley-Terry 6%
Weighted B-T 3%
Baseline Plus ML COR -4.0 (-1.0) 154.2 (+20.8) 34%
Baseline ML COR -4.4 (-0.6) 153.4 (+21.6) 34%
Baseline Tuned ML COR -4.7 (-0.3) 155.3 (+19.7) 30%
Efficiency Plus ML COR -5.9 (+0.9) 154.9 (+20.1) 31%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 21, 2024 RMU 8676 COR

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU COR
Overall 10-22 22-8
Conference 6-14 11-3
Home 7-9 10-1
Away 3-13 10-6
Neutral 0-0 2-1
Last 5 1-4 4-1
Streak L7 L2
Avg Pts For 72.2 80.4
Avg Pts Against 77.4 75.2
Massey -5.6 (#272) 4.2 (#102)
Bradley-Terry -1.75 (#311) 1.83 (#50)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.26 (#310) 2.21 (#58)
RPI 0.414 (#308) 0.559 (#89)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU COR
FG% 42.5% 48.2%
3PT% 30.6% 33.7%
REB / G 31.6 36.9
OREB / G 10.4 9.9
AST / TO 0.79 1.16
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.2% 56.3%
TOV% 20.3% 19.5%
ORB% 28.7% 29.0%
FT Rate 22.6% 24.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.8% 50.8%
Opp TOV% 19.8% 19.0%
DRB% 67.3% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 25.8% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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