Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | COR -470 RMU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RMU +10 | 162 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -10.5 (-20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -6.7 (-16.7) | 145.1 (+16.9) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -7.4 (-17.4) | 144.7 (+17.3) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -6.5 (-16.5) | 143.9 (+18.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -10.0 (-20.0) | 143.3 (+18.7) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | COR 90 – 85 RMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-11 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 15-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 16-2 |
| Away | 8-5 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#212) | -6.0 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#63) | -0.47 (#223) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.83 (#95) | -0.60 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.637 (#44) | 0.447 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | RMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 40.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 12.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 36.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 63.1% | 81.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.4% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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