Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -17.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | UGA -1700 UNF +950 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +18 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -16.2 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -13.3 (+4.7) | 148.1 (-10.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -14.1 (+3.9) | 145.7 (-7.7) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -13.6 (+4.4) | 145.8 (-7.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -11.7 (+6.3) | 151.6 (-13.6) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | UGA 90 – 77 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 9-7 |
| Home | 13-6 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-6 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 3.5 (#111) | -8.2 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#77) | -1.76 (#312) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#86) | -2.49 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#34) | 0.380 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.9% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.5% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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