Betting Lines
| Spread | UGA -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Over |
| Money | UGA -800 UNF +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UGA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UGA +13 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | UGA -3.6 (+9.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UGA -3.9 (+9.1) | 157.5 (+9.5) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UGA -3.5 (+9.5) | 157.4 (+9.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UGA -3.8 (+9.2) | 157.2 (+9.8) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UGA -4.3 (+8.7) | 158.3 (+8.7) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | UGA 78 – 60 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UGA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 15-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-7 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-0 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 85.7 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#99) | 11.2 (#16) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#96) | 3.11 (#1) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.92 (#103) | 4.35 (#1) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#125) | 0.792 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UGA | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 48.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 48.5 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 17.0 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 57.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 13.7% |
| ORB% | 49.3% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 32.8% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.8% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 82.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 14.3% |
Game Analysis
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