Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -120 JOES +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -2.6 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (+26.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -0.3 (+7.3) | 143.6 (+27.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -0.2 (+6.8) | 142.0 (+29.0) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -0.3 (+6.7) | 142.3 (+28.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -1.6 (+5.4) | 146.5 (+24.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 11, 2024 | COFC 78 – 75 JOES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-3 |
| Away | 10-2 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.5 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 1.5 (#144) | 8.5 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.05 (#92) | 2.25 (#32) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#99) | 3.56 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.572 (#70) | 0.566 (#74) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | JOES |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 55.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 44.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.