Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | JOES -320 COFC +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | JOES -7.9 (-10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -6.9 (-9.9) | 148.6 (+4.4) | 75% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -7.5 (-10.5) | 150.2 (+2.8) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -6.5 (-9.5) | 148.4 (+4.6) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JOES -6.4 (-9.4) | 149.7 (+3.3) | 72% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | COFC 89 – 82 JOES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 24-9 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-5 | 13-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#117) | -0.4 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.45 (#135) | 1.10 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#164) | 1.34 (#98) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#131) | 0.576 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.