Betting Lines
| Spread | CLEM -21.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Over |
| Money | CLEM -4500 QUC +1550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +30 | 188 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -24.1 (+5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+35.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -18.4 (+11.6) | 155.4 (+32.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -20.2 (+9.8) | 151.5 (+36.5) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -21.2 (+8.8) | 151.3 (+36.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -21.4 (+8.6) | 153.5 (+34.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 11-3 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 82.6 |
| Massey | 13.2 (#26) | -6.4 (#285) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.05 (#4) | -0.41 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.57 (#3) | -0.87 (#244) |
| RPI | 0.713 (#2) | 0.453 (#259) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | QUC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.62 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.8% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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