Betting Lines
| Spread | LSU -16.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.0 Under |
| Money | LSU -1600 LAM +900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LSU +21 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | LSU -8.8 (+12.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LSU -11.0 (+10.0) | 152.2 (+0.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LSU -7.1 (+13.9) | 152.6 (+0.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LSU -7.2 (+13.8) | 152.7 (+0.3) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LSU -7.7 (+13.3) | 154.3 (-1.3) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LSU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 11-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 73.4 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#150) | -3.3 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#180) | -1.18 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#164) | -1.23 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#193) | 0.419 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LSU | LAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.4% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 39.6% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 37.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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