Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | UCR -250 IDHO +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +15 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -3.6 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -2.3 (+12.7) | 134.6 (+14.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -2.6 (+12.4) | 134.2 (+14.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -2.4 (+12.6) | 134.1 (+14.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -5.6 (+9.4) | 133.4 (+15.6) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | IDHO 80 – 68 UCR |
| Dec 11, 2022 | UCR 76 – 74 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCR | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-10 |
| Away | 4-12 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 66.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 72.8 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#268) | -4.4 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#270) | -0.49 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.78 (#239) | -1.00 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#266) | 0.457 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCR | IDHO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 19.0% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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