Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +155 UCR -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IDHO +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | UCR -1.9 (+13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.0 (-1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -3.1 (+15.1) | 147.4 (+0.6) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -3.6 (+15.6) | 146.3 (+1.7) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -1.6 (+13.6) | 143.5 (+4.5) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -3.1 (+15.1) | 145.0 (+3.0) | 37% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | UCR 82 – 67 IDHO |
| Dec 11, 2022 | UCR 76 – 74 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 14-6 |
| Home | 8-6 | 14-1 |
| Away | 5-11 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 76.4 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#317) | -1.6 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.82 (#343) | 1.32 (#75) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.80 (#335) | 0.78 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#334) | 0.595 (#48) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 39.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.3% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 14.4% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.5% |
Game Analysis
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