Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | IDHO +240 UCR -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +2 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -2.5 (-4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -2.9 (-4.9) | 139.5 (+10.5) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -2.6 (-4.6) | 141.1 (+8.9) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -2.8 (-4.8) | 139.5 (+10.5) | 57% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -0.6 (-1.4) | 137.3 (+12.7) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 30, 2024 | IDHO 80 – 68 UCR |
| Dec 22, 2023 | UCR 82 – 67 IDHO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 6-10 | 9-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#217) | 0.4 (#173) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#282) | 0.98 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.78 (#290) | 0.84 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.381 (#337) | 0.557 (#93) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 29.8 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 22.6% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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