Virgil Cain is my name and I served on the Danville train. "The Night They Drove Old Dixie Down"-The Band
Pizzitola Sports Center · December 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread BRWN -9.5 Away covered
O/U 134.0 Over
Money BRWN -550 / SIE +400
Model Predictions
Spread Total BRWN win
Actual BRWN +4 138 Won
Massey BRWN -21.3 (-17.3)
Massey Totals 132.0 (+6.0)
Bradley-Terry 83%
Weighted B-T 96%
Efficiency Plus ML BRWN -13.7 (-9.7) 135.8 (+2.2) 89%
Baseline Tuned ML BRWN -15.0 (-11.0) 132.1 (+5.9) 89%
Baseline ML BRWN -15.1 (-11.1) 131.6 (+6.4) 89%
Baseline Plus ML BRWN -16.4 (-12.4) 132.2 (+5.8) 89%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Nov 8, 2025 SIE 6246 BRWN
Nov 5, 2024 SIE 7271 BRWN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings BRWN SIE
Overall 13-18 4-28
Conference 8-6 3-17
Home 5-7 2-12
Away 6-8 2-13
Neutral 2-3 0-3
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L1 L8
Avg Pts For 70.7 60.4
Avg Pts Against 72.5 74.4
Massey -4.2 (#250) -21.0 (#362)
Bradley-Terry -1.94 (#319) -2.62 (#340)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.86 (#297) -3.88 (#345)
RPI 0.410 (#319) 0.336 (#361)
Shooting & Four Factors BRWN SIE
FG% 40.4% 38.7%
3PT% 29.8% 24.8%
REB / G 37.9 36.4
OREB / G 12.2 13.9
AST / TO 0.83 0.60
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.3% 42.8%
TOV% 20.2% 24.7%
ORB% 31.0% 36.3%
FT Rate 23.2% 17.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.7% 56.1%
Opp TOV% 17.7% 16.5%
DRB% 74.1% 69.2%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 17.5%

Game Analysis

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