Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -165 DART +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +10 | 124 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -6.9 (+3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.6 (-8.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.9 (+7.1) | 132.8 (-8.8) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -3.4 (+6.6) | 130.8 (-6.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -3.5 (+6.5) | 130.7 (-6.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -3.5 (+6.5) | 133.0 (-9.0) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 19, 2025 | SHU 85 – 63 DART |
| Nov 9, 2024 | DART 81 – 76 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 6-21 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 2-12 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 0-14 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -7.6 (#298) | -9.8 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#317) | -1.14 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#320) | -1.48 (#275) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#318) | 0.415 (#307) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | DART |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 27.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 18.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 17.0% |
Game Analysis
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