Betting Lines
| Spread | NEB -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | NEB -2000 UND +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NEB +8 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | NEB -19.2 (-11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.5 (+17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NEB -17.9 (-9.9) | 142.4 (+15.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NEB -14.6 (-6.6) | 139.9 (+18.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NEB -15.9 (-7.9) | 139.5 (+18.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NEB -17.2 (-9.2) | 140.8 (+17.2) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2025 | NEB 78 – 55 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEB | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-6 |
| Home | 18-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#59) | -6.2 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.86 (#49) | 0.07 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#58) | -0.13 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.607 (#34) | 0.469 (#220) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEB | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 41.5 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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